How Prices Really Move FX

We will going to look at how and why prices move and how to win. Most traders make the mistake of thinking prices move to news stories and try and trade them or to some scientific theory - they don't. foreign exchange prices are chaos - but that doesn't mean you can't win, you can and to do so, you must understand the key point of this article...

Here is the equation for market movement

Fundamentals (Supply and Demand) + Investor Perception of = Price

While the above sounds simple and it is most traders don't understand that the facts are NOT important it is how they are perceived by all the investors as a whole that is important.

Many people trade breaking news but it won't help you as it's discounted immediately and furthermore, investors are always looking to the future. To illustrate this think about this fact:

Market bottoms normally occur when the news is most bearish and market tops, when the news is most bullish.

The fundamentals are important long term - but in the short term prices are determined by the greed and fear of the investors, it's what they all think as group that determines price.